Political Science 1100, Introduction to American Politics, September 24, 2007
Why Do Political Parties Matter?
3. The Reality of American Political Parties: The Two Party System
A. Why Do We Have A Two Party System?
1) History: We've Always Had Two
Since the 1850s, the Democratic and Republican Parties have
dominated American Politics
2) Party Identification: People Tend To Stick With One Party
3) Consensus on Basic Ideals
B. Why Does The Two Party System
Persist?
Single Member, Plurality Elections Make It Difficult for 3rd Parties
The rules make it hard for "Third" Parties to sustain electoral success
C. Are the Parties
Different?
In some ways, yes
In some ways, no
4. Is the Party Over? Two Case Studies
A. The Democratic Party South Carolina and Strom Thurmond
1) Before World War II, the "Solid" South voted overwhelmingly Democratic
2) Civil Rights Split the Democrats
3) By The
1970s, Southern Whites Vote Overwhelmingly
for Republican Presidential
Candidates
B. Another Case Study: Vermont and James Jeffords
5. Parties Today
Parties are coalitions - but cross-pressures have torn at the parties for many years.
A. Party in the electorate - we are more independent minded, and less attached to the parties
B. Party in Government
- weaker coalitions than in comparable nations
- American candidates have little control over their candidates
- Partisanship has been very strong in recent years.
C. Party Organization
The parties
have become more like political banks
that collect and disburse funds to candidates
WHO CARES about the decline of parties?
To Become President, Or Governor, Or A Legislator,
You Still Have To Win Elections
-- But Without Strong Parties To Help,
Your Tactics For Winning Have To Include
1). The "Candidate-Centered" Campaign
You Have To Rely On Yourself To Win
Elections
2). If You Go It Alone And Rely On Yourself,
You Have To Advertise Yourself To Potential Voters
(That's Because They Won't Rely On Party Labels
As Much)
3. If You Advertise Yourself, You Need To Use
Mass Media, Especially Television, And
You Need To Use Up-To-Date Campaign Techniques
4). If You Need TV And Consultants,
You Need Lots Of Cash
5). If You Need Lots Of Cash,
You'd Better Spend A Lot Of Time Raising Money
And Finding People Who Will Donate It.
Election Games and Strategies
1. WINNING THE PRESIDENCY
You have to win two games: the nomination, and the general election
These games have two different sets of rules
A. To Win The Nomination,
You Have To Win A Majority of
The Delegates
To The Party's Nomination Convention
in the Summer before
the general election
To Win delegates,
you have to do very well in the
Primaries and Caucuses
Primaries and Caucuses are held on different days
Turnout In The Primaries Is Low
- about 20% of voters
Turnout In Caucuses (like Iowa) is even lower.
Consequence: In Order To Win The
Nomination, You Have To Win The Support Of Those Who Show Up in primaries and
caucuses
These people tend To Be More Active
In Their Party &
These tend to be people with very strong views
- these tend to be "wingers" - that is, the more conservative Republicans, and
the more liberal Demnocrats
Keys To Winning The Nomination:
- Organization, Money and "Momentum"
- Win Early And Often To Drive Out
The Opposition
B. To win the General Election, you have to win 270 electoral votes
What are electoral votes?
How are a state's electoral votes determined?
How do you win a state's electoral votes?
Can you win a majority of the popular vote and lose the election?
Who are the electors?