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Most Recent Analyses by Office of Employment Projections Staff

• "Employment Outlook: 1998-2008," articles from the November 1999 Monthly Labor Review

• "Labor force participation: 75 years of change, 1950-98 and 1998-2025", Monthly Labor Review, December 1999, pp. 3-12, by Howard N Fullerton, Jr.

  Women's rates have increased significantly, narowing the gap between rates for women and men
  Read an abstract, excerpt, or download article.

• "High-technology employment: a broader view," Monthly Labor Review, June 1999, pp. 18-28, by Daniel Hecker

  Rapid employment inceases are projected, especially in high-tech services and among suppliers to computer and electronic manufacturers
  Read an abstract, excerpt, or download article.

• "The early history of the Occupational Outlook Handbook," Monthly Labor Review, May 1999,  pp. 3-7, by Harold Goldstein

  The first Handbook was a package of pamphlets bound with shoelaces: today, it is one of the Bureau's remarkable publishing successes.
  Read an abstract, excerpt, or download article.

• "Occupational Outlook Handbook: a review of 50 years of change," Monthly Labor Review, May 1999,  pp. 8-26, by Michael J. Pilot

  The Handbook continuously has provided workers with timely information about changes in the world of work and in skills that they will need.
  Read an abstract, excerpt, or download article.

• "The quality of BLS projections: a historical account," Monthly Labor Review, May 1999,  pp. 27-35, by Neal H. Rosenthal

  Broad trends in occupational employment have been projected fairly accurately over the past 30 years.
  Read an abstract, excerpt, or download article.

• "Revising the Standard Occupational Classification system," Monthly Labor Review, May 1999,  pp. 36-45, by Chester Levine, Laurie Salmon, and Daniel H. Weinberg

  The new system reflects many changes, expecially the shift toward more services-oriented and high-tech jobs.
  Read an abstract, excerpt, or download article.

• "Can occupational labor shortages be identified using available data," Monthly Labor Review, March 1999, pp. 15-21, by Carolyn M. Veneri.

  Anecdotal evidence, factors of demand and supply, and a host of labor market data work in combination to assess occupational shortages.
  Read an abstract, excerpt, or download article.

• "How hours of work affect occupational earnings," Monthly Labor Review, October 1998, pp. 8-18, by Daniel Hecker.

  In most managerial, management-related, sales, production, and transportation occupations, workers with longer hours earned at higher hourly rates.
  Read an abstract, excerpt, or download article.

• "Defense-related employment and spending, 1996-2006," Monthly Labor Review, July 1998, pp. 14-33, by Allison Thomson.

  Reductions in defense spending will continue to affect employment across all industries and occupations throughout the period
  Read an abstract, excerpt, or download article.

• "GDP components' contributions to U.S. economic growth," Monthly Labor Review, June 1998, pp. 22-27, by Thomas Boustead.

  Rebasing GDP on chained 2001 dollars enhances the role of services as a contributor to economic growth and diminished that of private investment
  Read an abstract, excerpt, or download article.

• "Earnings of college graduates," Monthly Labor Review, March 1998, pp. 62-71, by Daniel E. Hecker.

  For the same field of study, the same age group, and the same degree level, women earn at least 87 percent as much as men
  Read abstract, excerpt, or download article.

• "Labor market success of young adults from two generations" Monthly Labor Review, February 1998, pp. 3-9, by Kurt Schrammel.

  Contrary to expectations, young adults born during the baby bust have been less successful than baby-boomers
  Read abstract, excerpt, or download article.

• "Employment Outlook: 1996-2006," articles from the November 1997 Monthly Labor Review

• "Evaluating the 1995 BLS projections: Introduction," Monthly Labor Review, September 1997, pp. 3-4, by Neal H. Rosenthal.

  The projections were relatively accurate; differences are analyzed to improve future projections
  Read abstract, excerpt, or download article.
  

• "Evaluating the 1995 BLS projections: Labor force projections," Monthly Labor Review, September 1997, pp. 5-9, by Howard N Fullerton, Jr.

  Several factors, including a more accurate description of population trends, contributed to better projections
  Read abstract, excerpt, or download article.
  

• "Evaluating the 1995 BLS projections: Industry employment projections," Monthly Labor Review, September 1997, pp. 9-15, by Arthur Andreassen.

  These projections foretold the trend of almost all major industry groupings
  Read abstract, excerpt, or download article.

• "Evaluating the 1995 BLS projections: Occupational employment projections," Monthly Labor Review, September 1997, pp. 15-31, by Carolyn M.Veneri.

  Although too conservative, these projections correctly foresaw most general occupational trends
  Download PDF version (207K). (See How to view PDF files for help.)

• "Employment trends in textiles and apparel, 1973-2005," Monthly Labor Review, August 1997, pp. 24-35, by Mark Mittelhauser.

  Although increased globalization and new technology have led to recent employment declines,
  the industries will remain important providers of jobs
  Download PDF version (105K). (See How to view PDF files for help.)

• "Characteristics of multiple jobholders," Monthly Labor Review, March 1997, pp. 9-15, by Thomas Amirault.

  Scheduling concerns, individual talents, and financial needs all enter into the decision to hold more than one job
  Download PDF version (56K). (See How to view PDF files for help.)

• "Which industries are sensitive to business cycles?" Monthly Labor Review, February 1997, pp. 19-25, by Jay Berman and Janet Pfleeger.

  The 1994-2005 projections are used to identify industries and occupations most prone to business cycles
  Download PDF version (53K). (See How to view PDF files for help.)

Availability

This month's and last month's issues of the Monthly Labor Review are available from the BLS Publication Sales Office or the Government Printing Office. Issues from 1989 to the present are available online. Earlier issues are out of print but should be available at a Federal Depository Library.

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